Match Info

Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)


	Keflavík		IR Reykjavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.6	3.8
	1.77	3.94	4.37
				Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.69	3.74	4.21	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.93)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	3.99 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
52.4%

Draw
24.7%

IR Reykjavik
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

25.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keflavík's performance.

IR Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+4%)

Keflavík - IR Reykjavik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 18. Bjarnason E. 24. Gudmundsson G. 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 7. Saevarsson G. 92. Sigfusson K.	1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 3. Baldursson B. 7. Bjarkason O. 4. Gunnarsson S. 5. Hallgrimsson H. 9. Helgason B. 22. Ingolfsson J. 14. Ivarsson V. 6. Marteinsson K. 19. Matthiasson H. 13. McAusland M. (C)
Substitutes
25. Elvarsson F. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 9. Hakonarson V. 14. Mudrazija M. 23. Ragnarsson E.	17. Einarsson O. 27. Hlynsson J. (G) 20. Ivarsson I. 8. Kostic A. 21. Orri Ingimarsson S. (G) 25. Petersen G. 16. Sigurhjartarson E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Gunnarsson S. 🟨,
21', Hallgrimsson H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Ivarsson V. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
59', Magnusson S. 🟨,
89', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 3.

Recent performances by Keflavík have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

IR Reykjavik is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

IR Reykjavik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keflavík is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Cup
18.06.25	Stjarnan - Keflavík	4:2 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
14.06.25	Völsungur - Keflavík	1:1 ✺
09.06.25	Keflavík - Fylkir	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Keflavík - HK Kópavogur	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLW
- IR Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
13.06.25	IR Reykjavik - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:0 ✺
09.06.25	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
04.06.25	IR Reykjavik - Throttur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Fjölnir - IR Reykjavik	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	IR Reykjavik - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
22.09.24	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	2:3
18.09.24	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	1:4
18.07.24	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	0:1
03.05.24	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	1:2
24.08.17	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	3:2
16.06.17	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	1:3

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