Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Nyayo National Stadium (Nairobi)

Referee: Athoumani M. (Com)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Kenya	Gotv, KBC Channel 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol


	Kenya		Eritrea

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.20	8.00
	1.36	4.55	7.3
	1.38	4.39	9.2
	1.4	4.34	7.8	Watch
	1.34	4.05	9
	1.35	4.33	10.2	Watch
	1.34	4.1	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	4.28 ↑ (3.98)	8.47 ↑ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya
67.7%

Draw
21.5%

Eritrea
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

22.9%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Eritrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Kenya - Eritrea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kenya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kenya will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Omondi B. (G) Mahia 5. Odhiambo F. Mahia 16. Onyango R. Sogndal 3. Omar A. (C) Police FC 2. Wesonga H. KCB 19. Ochieng J. Real Sociedad 10. Ouma T. Charlton 20. Okwaro M. Reims 22. Obiero M. Carlisle 15. Ogam R. RFC Liege 8. Abuya D. Young Africans	1. Abdulrahman M. (G) 25. Fors V. Kongsvinger 4. Ali J. Preston Lions 9. Tekie T. Hammarby 3. Idris J. Hellerup 14. Embaye N. Wurzburger Kickers 20. Girmai N. Degerfors 8. Teklezgi A. (C) Red Sea 19. Yohannes E. 7. Gerezgiher F. Dusseldorf 10. Sulieman A. Al Masry
Substitutes
7. Bajaber M. Simba 18. Bwire B. (G) Polokwane City 12. Erambo C. Tusker 1. Faruk S. (G) St. Georges 17. Harper V. Exeter 4. Kibwage M. Mahia 6. Nabwire M. Police FC 24. Omondi B. S. Mahia 13. Omondi J. Ulinzi Stars 11. Sirengo S. 14. Wanjala A. Torrellano 21. Wilson O. S. AIK	26. Alemseged A. Grorud 16. Asmelash H. Milsami 2. Beraky M. Fiorentina 17. Ibrahim F. Maharlika Manila 30. Issac A. Fernwald 12. Kebreab Y. (G) 23. Lundgren M. Ranheim 31. Sebhatu Y. SD Raiders
Coaches
McCarthy B.	Yakan H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Ali J. ↓, Misignha J. ↑,
29', Onyango R. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Girmai N. ⚽, Sulieman A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Fors V. 🟨,
60', Okwaro M. 🟨,
64', Ochieng J. ↓, Omondi B. S. ↑,
65', Ouma T. ↓, Wilson O. S. ↑,
67', Tekie T. ↓, Tadese N. ↑,
70', Okwaro M. ↓, Bajaber M. ↑,
78', Yohannes E. ↓, Issac A. ↑,
78', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
79', Onyango R. ↓, Wanjala A. ↑,
79', Obiero M. ↓, Sirengo S. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Ogam R. ⚽, Omondi B. S. (A),

Preview

Kenya is ranked FIFA: 109., and Eritrea is ranked FIFA: 184..

Kenya holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Kenya has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya
Friendly
07.06.26	Kenya - Lesotho	4:0 ✺
04.06.26	Lesotho - Kenya	1:1 ✺
03.06.26	Kyrgyzstan - Kenya	Canceled ✺
FIFA Series
30.03.26	Grenada - Kenya	0:3 ✺
27.03.26	Kenya - Estonia	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WT?WL
- Eritrea
Africa Cup of Nations
31.03.26	Eswatini - Eritrea	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Eritrea - Eswatini	2:0 ✺
CECAFA Championship
19.12.19	Uganda - Eritrea	3:0 ✺
17.12.19	Kenya - Eritrea	1:4 ✺
15.12.19	Somalia - Eritrea	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

CECAFA Championship
17.12.19	Kenya - Eritrea	1:4

Kenya - Eritrea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide