Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.33	3.2	2.8
	2.34	3.18	3.04
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.26	3.26	2.9
	2.33	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.85 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
39.1%

Draw
29%

Kettering Town
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.8%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford Park Avenue's form might have worsened.

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kettering Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bradford Park Avenue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kettering Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bradford Park Avenue - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 1.

Bradford Park Avenue is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kettering is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bradford Park Avenue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford Park Avenue won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
01.01.23	Farsley - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Farsley	1:1 ✺
05.12.22	Bradford Park Avenue - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Buxton - Bradford Park Avenue	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Boston United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWWW
- Kettering Town
English National League North
26.12.22	Peterborough Sports - Kettering Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Gateshead - Kettering Town	Canceled ✺
English National League North
06.12.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
02.12.22	Darlington - Kettering Town	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Kettering Town - Southport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 W?LTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.08.22	Kettering Town - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1
22.01.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Kettering Town	2:1
14.08.21	Kettering Town - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0
24.10.20	Kettering Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:1
02.11.19	Kettering Town - Bradford Park Avenue	4:0

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