Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 30

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.74	3.3	4.25
	1.74	3.45	4.2
	1.82	3.38	4.3
	1.73	3.4	4.33
	1.76	3.55	4.45
	1.74	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	4.28 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
52%

Draw
26.7%

Kettering Town
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Alfreton Town - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 1.

Alfreton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Kettering is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Kettering have a series of guest games.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
14.01.23	Chorley - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Alfreton Town - Farsley	1:0 ✺
01.01.23	Buxton - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Alfreton Town - Buxton	3:0 ✺
02.12.22	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWT
- Kettering Town
English National League North
17.01.23	AFC Telford United - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Peterborough Sports - Kettering Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Gateshead - Kettering Town	Canceled ✺
English National League North
06.12.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TTW?L

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
27.08.22	Kettering Town - Alfreton Town	1:3
02.05.22	Kettering Town - Alfreton Town	1:0
08.02.22	Alfreton Town - Kettering Town	0:0
28.12.20	Alfreton Town - Kettering Town	3:3
21.12.19	Alfreton Town - Kettering Town	0:2
14.09.19	Kettering Town - Alfreton Town	2:1

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