Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Khalij Fars Mahshahr		Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman

	1	X	2
	4.33	2.65	1.93
	4.72	2.62	1.95
	4.5	2.81	1.91
	4.5	2.7	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (2.85)	2.7 ↑ (2.61)	1.94 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khalij Fars Mahshahr
20%

Draw
33.5%

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

34.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

36.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khalij Fars Mahshahr's form might have worsened.

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khalij Fars Mahshahr than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khalij Fars Mahshahr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mes Shahr-e Babak is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Mes Shahr-e Babak to win the game is with odds 2.7.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Khalij Fars Mahshahr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Khalij Fars Mahshahr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Iran Division 1
13.12.23	Chadormalou Ardakan - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
05.12.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Ario Eslamshahr	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
17.11.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Mes Kerman	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Shahrdari Astara - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
12.12.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Esteghlal Molasani	2:0 ✺
05.12.23	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
29.11.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
23.11.23	Mes Kerman - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
15.11.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Darya Babol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
04.05.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0
18.11.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	1:0

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