Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday


	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman		Esteghlal Molasani

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.87	4.4
	1.83	2.84	5.04
	1.81	2.82	5.04
	1.91	2.9	3.9
	1.78	2.96	4.95
	1.86	2.9	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	2.88 ↑ (2.83)	4.66 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
49.2%

Draw
31.4%

Esteghlal Molasani
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

32.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

31.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Esteghlal Molasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Molasani than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Mes Shahr-e Babak is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mes Shahr-e Babak won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mes Shahr-e Babak won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
05.12.23	Shahrdari Astara - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
29.11.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
23.11.23	Mes Kerman - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
15.11.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Darya Babol	3:0 ✺
08.11.23	Khoosheh Talai - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTTWL
- Esteghlal Molasani
Iran Division 1
05.12.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Molasani	2:0 ✺
29.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Darya Babol	2:2 ✺
15.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Shahrdari Astara	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal Molasani	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
10.05.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Esteghlal Molasani	Mes Shahr Babak awarded
19.12.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0
28.04.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1

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