Match Info

First League - Round 14

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Khan Tengri		Yelimay 2

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.60	7.00
	1.50	4.10	4.60
	1.45	4.15	4.25
	1.43	4.15	6.46	Watch
	1.30	4.60	6.25
	1.30	4.95	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 (1.39)	4.43 ↑ (4.23)	5.89 ↓ (7.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khan Tengri
64.6%

Draw
20.2%

Yelimay 2
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.7%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khan Tengri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Yelimay 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Sovetkazy N. ⚽, Zhilin A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Khan Tengri is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khan Tengri won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	23	3	3	17	17:47	-30	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
09.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	5:2 ✺
02.07.26	Khan Tengri - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:3 ✺
25.06.26	Kairat 2 - Khan Tengri	5:0 ✺
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Khan Tengri - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
10.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Arys - Yelimay 2	3:2 ✺
25.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
18.06.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Yelimay 2	1:1 ✺
11.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
17.04.26	Yelimay 2 - Khan Tengri	3:3

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