Match Info

First League - Round 12

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Arys		Yelimay 2

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.20	2.78
	2.41	3.06	2.85	Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.70
	2.38	3.00	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.41)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)	2.8 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arys
38.8%

Draw
29.1%

Yelimay 2
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The chances for Yelimay 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arys than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Arys - Yelimay 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Begaly E. ⚽, Imanali M. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Saduakas M. ⚽, Vaganov M. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Sansyzbaev S. ⚽, Sovetkazy N. (A),
39', 3 - 1, Mansurov B. ⚽, Imanali M. (A),
45+2', 3 - 2, Levkovich V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Arys	24	8	3	13	32:45	-13	27
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	24	3	3	18	19:50	-31	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
25.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Arys	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1 ✺
26.05.26	Arys - Kairat 2	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Taraz - Arys	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Arys - Khan Tengri	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL
- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
25.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
18.06.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Yelimay 2	1:1 ✺
11.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
26.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Aktobe 2 - Yelimay 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTLLL

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