Match Info

First League - Round 13

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Aktobe 2		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.30
	2.12	3.65	2.65
	2.20	3.90	2.28
	2.57	3.87	2.24	Watch
	2.30	3.75	2.30
	2.56	3.74	2.20	Watch
	2	3.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2)	3.79 ↓ (3.9)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe 2
38.7%

Draw
23.5%

Khan Tengri
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

22.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

20.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Khan Tengri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe 2 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aktobe 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khan Tengri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Zhumagaliev A. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Amirbek N. ⚽, Abdullaev B. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Arturuly K. ⚽, Kikbaev M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 3 - 1, Arturuly K. ⚽, Kikbaev M. (A),
72', 3 - 2, Abdullaev B. ⚽, Aydarbekuly A. (A),
73', 4 - 2, Kikbaev M. ⚽, Zheksenbai J. (A),
90+1', 5 - 2, Igilik O. ⚽, Kikbaev M. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe 2 won 1.

Aktobe 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Khan Tengri's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aktobe 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25
12	Aktobe 2	23	6	5	12	38:69	-31	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
02.07.26	Tobol 2 - Aktobe 2	5:5 ✺
25.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Arys	3:1 ✺
11.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:4 ✺
27.05.26	Jaiyq - Aktobe 2	3:2 ✺
21.05.26	Aktobe 2 - Yelimay 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLW
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
02.07.26	Khan Tengri - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:3 ✺
25.06.26	Kairat 2 - Khan Tengri	5:0 ✺
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Khan Tengri - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Astana 2 - Khan Tengri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
24.10.25	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	3:1
10.04.25	Khan Tengri - Aktobe 2	2:0
16.08.24	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	0:2
31.05.24	Khan Tengri - Aktobe 2	6:2
14.09.23	Khan Tengri - Aktobe 2	1:1
26.05.23	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	0:3

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