Match Info

First League - Round 9

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Khan Tengri		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.45	1.42
	4.85	4.4	1.4
	5.76	4.75	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (5.06)	4.53 (4.53)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khan Tengri
16.7%

Draw
19.8%

Shakhter Karagandy
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

20.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

19.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khan Tengri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Migunov A. ⚽, Ulshin A. (A),
89', 0 - 2, Litosh A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Khan Tengri has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shakhter Karagandy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khan Tengri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	24	21	2	1	66:8	58	65
11	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
26.05.26	Astana 2 - Khan Tengri	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Khan Tengri - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Arys - Khan Tengri	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Khan Tengri - Akademiya Ontustik	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Khan Tengri	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
26.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Astana 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
15.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Aktobe 2	7:0 ✺
07.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
25.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	3:0

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