Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Kharkiv		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.77
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	4.5	3.88	1.77
	4.54	3.77	1.78
	4.2	3.6	1.67
	4.45	3.62	1.75	Watch
	3.95	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.64)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)	1.76 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
21.5%

Draw
25.4%

Chornomorets Odesa
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.6%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

28.5%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chornomorets Odesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Mozil O. (G) 30. Bezuglyy M. 3. Tkachuk Y. 17. Kurylo I. 74. Faryna M. 6. Vachiberadze B. 8. Martynuk Y. (C) 19. Tkachuk A. 14. Yusov D. 97. Sydorov O. 11. Remenyuk A.	1. Varakuta D. (G) 9. Putrya I. (C) 79. Salyuk V. 3. Yermakov V. 45. Bragaru M. 8. Sporn J. 7. Kuzyk O. 27. Vasyliev O. 77. Shtogrin A. 70. Iyede S. 39. Badibanga Z.
Substitutes
15. Abdullaev A. 7. Ari Moura 9. Boryachuk A. 20. Chervak V. 79. Chyruk A. 22. Dmytrenko V. 2. Kapinus D. 27. Kravchenko D. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 5. Rudavskyi M. 1. Sydorenko D. (G) 29. Zhychykov M.	31. Bilyk O. (G) 11. Boychuk B. 97. Dada Belmonte 30. Danylyuk Y. 5. Gucek L. 10. Hadida G. 99. Shevchenko O. (G) 4. Sytnykov M. 21. Ukhan I.
Coaches
Galovskyi E.	Grygorchuk R.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metalist 1925 won 1.

Metalist 1925 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chornomorets is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Chornomorets have a series of home games.

In this match Chornomorets is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Metalist 1925 won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalist 1925 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
29.10.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kharkiv	2:2 ✺
20.10.23	Kharkiv - Kryvbas	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Obolon - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
02.10.23	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
27.09.23	Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Cup
01.11.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	4:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
21.10.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Mynai	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Kryvbas - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Zorya Luhansk	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
27.09.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Kryvbas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
11.03.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	1:1
27.08.22	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0
12.12.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	2:1
06.08.21	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.05.21	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1
15.11.20	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	2:0
03.08.20	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0

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