Match Info

J1 League - Placement Play Offs - 11th place

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)


	Fagiano Okayama		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	2.92	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.08	3.2	2.48
	3.1	3.03	2.46	Watch
	2.9	3	2.4
	2.97	3.2	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (2.98)	3.12 ↑ (3.11)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
31.3%

Draw
30%

Urawa Red Diamonds
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fagiano Okayama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Urawa Red Diamonds aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moser L. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 26. Motoyama H. 41. Miyamoto E. 5. Ogura K. 88. Yamane T. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. (C) 99. Lucao	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 3. Danilo Boza 2. Miyamoto Y. (C) 5. Nemoto K. 88. Naganuma Y. 14. Sekine T. 11. Gustafson S. 25. Yasui K. 10. Nakajima S. 45. Onaiwu A. 36. Hidano R.
Substitutes
4. Abe K. 45. Browne N. 52. Hamada T. (G) 22. Ichimi K. 33. Kamiya Yuta 9. Leo Gaucho 66. Nishikawa J. 51. Shirai K. 17. Sueyoshi R.	39. Hayakawa J. 4. Ishihara H. 77. Kaneko T. 17. Komori H. 8. Matheus Savio 24. Matsuo Y. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 22. Shibato K. 13. Watanabe R.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Tanaka T.

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Okayama: Kudo K. (Hamstring Injury) Tabei R. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 1.92% Okayama: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Fagiano Okayama - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.33%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
23.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Vissel Kobe - Fagiano Okayama	0:3 ✺
06.05.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWWLW
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
22.05.26	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo	0:1 penalties ✺
09.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:4 ✺
06.05.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.11.25	Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1
08.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:0

Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide