Match Info

Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV


	Kharkiv		Livyi Bereh Kyiv

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.05	2.8
	2.52	3.12	2.72
	2.86	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.63	3.16	2.77	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.48)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.66 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
34.7%

Draw
30.1%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Kharkiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kharkiv will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Livyi Bereh will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livyi Bereh: 59% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Livyi Bereh (1.73) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Livyi Bereh Kyiv will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Kharkiv (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Livyi Bereh (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 2. Kapinus D. 13. Salyuk V. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 3. Kravets V. 6. Mafwenta G. 7. Ari Moura 10. Yurchenko V. (C) 14. Lytvynenko I. 19. Rashica E. 80. Mba C.	1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 97. Yakymiv A. 5. Samar V. 22. Shapoval V. 18. Dedukh R. (C) 29. Prykhodko K. 11. Voytsekhovskiy V. 7. Shastal D. 96. Synytsya O. 21. Sukhoruchko D.
Substitutes
77. Bugay V. 15. Chornomorets O. 28. Gadzhyev R. 40. Gusev O. 32. Imerekov M. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 1. Mozil O. (G) 8. Obinaiah S. 91. Panchenko M. 5. Pedro Arthur 31. Sten S.	44. Banada E. 8. Diego 26. Galas T. 37. Geresh R. 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 9. Kobzar B. 17. Kogut I. 19. Kogut M. 25. Kosovskyi S. 10. Riznyk A. 50. Semenov D. 6. Sidnney
Coaches
Chyzhov O.	Pervak V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Shastal D. ↓, Kogut M. ↑,
59', Voytsekhovskiy V. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
61', Ari Moura ↓, Gadzhyev R. ↑,
61', Yurchenko V. ↓, Kalitvintsev V. ↑,
72', Prykhodko K. ↓, Galas T. ↑,
76', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
78', Mba C. ↓, Bugay V. ↑,
86', Synytsya O. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
86', Sukhoruchko D. ↓, Geresh R. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Kalitvintsev V. ⚽, Rashica E. (A),
90+1', Kalitvintsev V. 🟨,
90+3', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Imerekov M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, Metalist 1925 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Livyi Bereh's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metalist 1925 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Livyi Bereh: Astakhov E. (Collarbone injury) Banada E. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Metalist 1925: Kravchenko D. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Kharkiv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Kharkiv - Metalist Kharkiv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWT
- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
23.05.25	Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Inhulets - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Kryvbas - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kharkiv	0:1
Ukrainian Premier League
26.07.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kharkiv	2:1 penalties

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