Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Khimik Stadium (Dzerzhinsk)


	Khimik Dzerzhinsk		Volna Kovernino

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.95	4.71
	1.61	3.56	5.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	3.76 ↓ (3.84)	5.17 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
57.7%

Draw
24.5%

Volna Kovernino
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

25.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Volna Kovernino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+2%)

Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Volna Kovernino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Safronov R. (G) 7. Abramushkin N. 36. Gruznov I. 8. Knyazev D. 17. Kuleshin I. 70. Savinov A. 5. Shirokov A. (C) 99. Uboniev A. 11. Weber D. 9. Yurchenko I. 68. Zinkov V.	81. Smirnov O. (G) 4. Abramov A. (C) 6. Chibisov S. 78. Mukhin E. 7. Mutaliev A. 98. Pozdnyakov E. 99. Savitskiy I. 12. Saygushev V. 30. Volkov A. 11. Voronov D. 8. Zabotkin M.
Substitutes
13. Dolzhenko V. (G) 65. Goryachkin A. 6. Kudryashov S. 74. Lapin A. 10. Merenchukov D. 20. Potekhin A. (G) 57. Shulkin N. (G) 98. Trofimov O. 80. Zhebryakov E.	51. Alekseev E. (G) 33. Chaligava A. 2. Chechetkin D. 91. Chugunov N. 97. Kotelnikov D. 1. Migunov I. (G) 88. Shamaev K. 17. Shcherbin R. 22. Sokolov B. 18. Volkov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Gruznov I. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Gruznov I. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Gruznov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pozdnyakov E. ↓, Volkov O. ↑,
56', Gruznov I. 🟨,
64', Voronov D. ↓, Chugunov N. ↑,
64', Savitskiy I. ↓, Shcherbin R. ↑,
72', Zabotkin M. ↓, Kotelnikov D. ↑,
74', Zinkov V. 🟨,
85', Mukhin E. ↓, Shamaev K. ↑,
87', Gruznov I. ↓, Merenchukov D. ↑,
87', Uboniev A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 8).

In recent matches, Khimik Dzerzhinsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Volna Kovernino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Khimik Dzerzhinsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Volna Kovernino has had a series of home games.

In this match, Khimik Dzerzhinsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Khimik Dzerzhinsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Khimik Dzerzhinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
05.10.25	KDV Tomsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Orenburg-2	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Chelyabinsk 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Dynamo Barnaul	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Fankom - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTTWL
- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
05.10.25	Volna Kovernino - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Arsenal Tula	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Akron Tolyatti 2	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Volna Kovernino - KDV Tomsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Tyumen	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
06.07.25	Volna Kovernino - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:3
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
31.10.21	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Volna Kovernino	0:1
10.09.21	Volna Kovernino - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:2
Russian Cup
14.07.21	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Volna Kovernino	0:1 penalties

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