Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2


	Khimki		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.26	2.85
	2.67	3.32	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.42)	3.29 ↓ (3.63)	2.84 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
36.3%

Draw
29.5%

Akron Tolyatti
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Khimki - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Khimki will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Kokarev N. (G) 72. Fernandez D. 25. Filin A. 14. Dzhikiya G. 99. Orinho 22. Mejia R. 77. Corredera A. 18. Bakaev Z. 32. Vera L. 17. Berkovskiy I. 91. Zabolotnyi A.	78. Vasyutin A. (G) 77. Savichev K. 26. Escoval R. 19. Bokoev M. 21. Fernandez R. 35. Djakovac I. 5. Djurasovic A. 15. Loncar S. 17. Bakaev S. 24. Dzyuba A. 71. Pestryakov D.
Substitutes
29. Amian B. 2. Golubovic P. 55. Kaplenko K. 97. Magomedov B. 6. Melentijevic S. 11. Mirzov R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 9. Rudenko A. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D. 93. Tuseev I. (G)	80. Bardybakhin V. 11. Benchimol 91. Boldyrev M. 7. Danilin K. 69. Dmitriev A. 25. Esanov S. 20. Galoyan A. 14. Khubulov V. 65. Moskvichev V. 22. Nedelcearu I. 4. Paulo Vitor 1. Volkov S. (G)
Coaches
Adiev M.	Tedeev Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dzyuba A. ⚽, Fernandez R. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Savichev K. (Own goal),
27', Escoval R. 🟨,
29', 2 - 1, Vera L. (Pen),
37', Fernandez R. 🟨,
42', Bakaev S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pestryakov D. ↓, Boldyrev M. ↑,
46', Bokoev M. ↓, Nedelcearu I. ↑,
61', Bakaev Z. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
62', Bakaev S. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
63', Loncar S. ↓, Danilin K. ↑,
65', Zabolotnyi A. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Escoval R. ⚽,
79', Corredera A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
79', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Golubovic P. ↑,
85', Fernandez D. 🟨,
89', Vera L. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
90+4', Nedelcearu I. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 9).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Akron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Akron have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Khimki: Luna D. (Injury)

There will not play in Akron: Kuzmin M. (Yellow Cards)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Khimki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Khimki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Russian Premier League
20.04.25	Zenit - Khimki	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Khimki - Krylya Sovetov	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Khimki	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Khimki - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Khimki - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
19.04.25	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Akron Tolyatti - Fakel	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
31.03.25	Akron Tolyatti - Rostov	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
15.09.24	Akron Tolyatti - Khimki	3:0
Russian FNL
12.11.23	Khimki - Akron Tolyatti	2:2
02.10.23	Akron Tolyatti - Khimki	0:2

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