Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Shadyhanov P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Akron Tolyatti		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	5.32	4.14	1.66
	5.5	4.2	1.58
	5.23	4.22	1.66	Watch
	4.8	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.6)	4.14 ↑ (3.85)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
18.3%

Draw
23.1%

CSKA Moscow
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

23.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: CSKA Moscow will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Gudiev V. (G) 2. Rocha Y. 13. Bardybakhin V. 26. Escoval R. 3. Paulo Vitor 8. Bistrovic K. 11. Dudu 22. Maradishvili K. 15. Loncar S. (C) 89. Popenkov D. 7. Benchimol	49. Torop V. (G) 22. Gajic M. 4. Joao Victor 79. Danilov K. 3. Krugovoy D. 10. Oblyakov I. (C) 31. Kislyak M. 20. Popovic M. 7. Matheus Alves 17. Glebov K. 32. Gondou L.
Substitutes
81. Bazilevskiy N. 69. Dmitriev A. 72. Khametov M. 33. Kholodov M. 80. Khosonov K. 39. Makeev N. 67. Platon N. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 47. Vedernikov E. 98. Volochay R. (G)	23. Abdulkadyrov D. 52. Bandikyan A. 85. Besaev E. (G) 39. Borisko M. (G) 62. Firov I. 37. Henrique Carmo 18. Kozlov D. 90. Lukin M. 2. Matheus Reis 11. Musaev T. 87. Ponomarchuk A. 84. Vakulich A.
Coaches
Blagojevic S.	Igdisamov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Gondou L. ⚽, Glebov K. (A),
20', Kislyak M. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
23', 1 - 1, Rocha Y. ⚽, Benchimol (A),
32', Popenkov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Popovic M. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Benchimol ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
71', Maradishvili K. ↓, Dmitriev A. ↑,
73', Bistrovic K. 🟨,
73', Escoval R. 🟨,
73', Gondou L. 🟨,
74', Kozlov D. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
74', Gajic M. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Henrique Carmo ⚽, Matheus Alves (A),
82', Bistrovic K. ↓, Khosonov K. ↑,
86', Dudu ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
90+2', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
90+3', Dmitriev A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.

In this match, CSKA is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Akron: Nedelcearu I. (Injury)

There will not play in CSKA: Akinfeev I. (Muscle Injury) Moises (Inactive)

There are questionable in Akron: Zheleznov Y. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Akron won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

CSKA Moscow: 6.69% Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA Moscow - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.1%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
23.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rostov	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWTTL
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
22.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1
Russian Premier League
04.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	1:3
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	1:3
Russian Cup
21.10.25	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:2
Russian Premier League
24.08.25	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:1
Russian Cup
12.08.25	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	2:1 penalties
Russian Premier League
16.03.25	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	1:2

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