Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Kukuyan P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2


	Akron Tolyatti		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	5.15	4.25	1.64
	5.12	4.32	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↓ (5.37)	4.22 ↓ (4.82)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
19.6%

Draw
22.7%

Spartak Moscow
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

20.4%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Akron will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Spartak M will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Akron (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Spartak M (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Gudiev V. (G) 77. Savichev K. (C) 24. Nedelcearu I. 19. Bokoev M. 21. Fernandez R. 15. Loncar S. 5. Djurasovic A. 35. Djakovac I. 71. Pestryakov D. 22. Dzyuba A. 91. Boldyrev M.	98. Maksimenko A. (C) 82. Khlusevich D. 68. Litvinov R. 4. Duarte A. 2. Reabciuk O. 35. Martins C. 18. Umyarov N. 83. Fernandes G. 11. Garcia L. 9. Ugalde M. 5. Barco E.
Substitutes
81. Bazilevskiy N. 11. Benchimol 7. Danilin K. 69. Dmitriev A. 26. Escoval R. 6. Kuzmin M. 89. Popenkov D. 87. Shershov N. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 78. Vasyutin A. (G)	6. Babic S. 97. Denisov D. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 88. Guziev E. 24. Massalyga N. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 25. Prutsev D. 7. Solari P. 47. Zobnin R. 28. Zorin D.
Coaches
Tedeev Z.	Stankovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Djakovac I. 🟨,
45', Bokoev M. 🟨,
45+1', Khlusevich D. 🟨,
45+2', Khlusevich D. 🟨,
45+5', Ugalde M. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fernandes G. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
46', Reabciuk O. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
57', Djurasovic A. 🟨,
63', Loncar S. (Pen),
73', Loncar S. ↓, Kuzmin M. ↑,
77', Pestryakov D. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
86', Martins C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
86', Barco E. ↓, Zorin D. ↑,
90', Maksimenko A. 🟨,
90', Kuzmin M. 🟨,
90', Boldyrev M. ↓, Dmitriev A. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Solari P. ⚽, Dmitriev I. (A),
90+4', 1 - 1, Dzyuba A. (Pen),

Preview

Spartak M is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Spartak M has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spartak M is the team to beat.

There will not play in Spartak M: Bongonda T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Marquinhos (Red Card) Zabolotnyi A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Akron: Bakaev S. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Cup
29.07.25	Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
26.07.25	Sochi - Akron Tolyatti	0:4 ✺
19.07.25	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.25	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTTL
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Cup
30.07.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
26.07.25	Spartak Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3 ✺
19.07.25	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Spartak Moscow - Spartak Subotica	4:1 ✺
06.07.25	Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
19.04.25	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow	2:3
Russian Cup
12.03.25	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow	2:3
Russian Premier League
10.11.24	Spartak Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	4:0
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Spartak Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:1
Russian Cup
19.04.23	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow	2:1

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