Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 13

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Kazartsev V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Kazakhstan	Q Sport International
Montenegro	Arena Sport 9
Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Khimki		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.09	4.01	1.85
	4.26	4.31	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (5.94)	4.16 ↓ (4.61)	1.84 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
23.4%

Draw
23.5%

Dynamo Moscow
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

21.4%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

22.4%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimki's performance.

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Khimki - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Moscow will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Kokarev N. (G) 13. Terekhov S. 14. Dzhikiya G. 25. Filin A. 99. Orinho 80. Khosonov K. 32. Vera L. 11. Mirzov R. 22. Mejia R. 18. Bakaev Z. 91. Zabolotnyi A.	1. Lunev A. (G) 50. Kutitsky A. 3. Fabian Balbuena 18. Marichal N. 6. Fernandez R. 24. Chavez L. 74. Fomin D. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 10. Bitello 11. Arthur Gomes 70. Tyukavin K.
Substitutes
10. Abdullahi S. 26. Andjelkovic N. 17. Berkovskiy I. 77. Corredera A. 2. Golubovic P. 97. Magomedov B. 6. Melentijevic S. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 8. Panchenko K. 9. Rudenko A. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D.	30. Aleksandrov D. 80. Bessmertniy S. 8. Carrascal J. 34. Gagnidze L. 91. Gladyshev Y. 20. Grulev V. 59. Lepskii I. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 77. Makarov D. 14. Maouhoub E. 88. Okishor V. 7. Skopintsev D.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Licka M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', Terekhov S. 🟨,
19', Fernandez R. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Fomin D. ⚽, Marichal N. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Vera L. ⚽, Zabolotnyi A. (A),
34', Kutitsky A. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Bakaev Z. ⚽, Zabolotnyi A. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Fernandez R. ⚽, Moumi Ngamaleu N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Terekhov S. ↓, Stepanov D. ↑,
50', 2 - 3, Arthur Gomes ⚽, Bitello (A),
54', Dzhikiya G. ↓, Andjelkovic N. ↑,
63', Mejia R. 🟨,
67', Mirzov R. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
67', Mejia R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
71', Bitello ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
71', Tyukavin K. ↓, Maouhoub E. ↑,
73', 2 - 4, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ⚽,
75', 3 - 4, Kutitsky A. (Own goal),
78', Arthur Gomes ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
83', Khosonov K. ↓, Panchenko K. ↑,
90', Fernandez R. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
90+5', Bakaev Z. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimki won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Dynamo M could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dynamo M is a favorite.

There will not play in Dynamo M: Dasa E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo M: Majstorovic M. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Khimki won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:19 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Khimki won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Russian Cup
23.10.24	Orenburg - Khimki	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
19.10.24	Khimki - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Krasnodar - Khimki	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.10.24	Khimki - Rostov	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
29.09.24	Krylya Sovetov - Khimki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWLWT
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Cup
24.10.24	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	3:6 ✺
Russian Premier League
20.10.24	Rubin Kazan - Dynamo Moscow	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.10.24	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
29.09.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
06.05.23	Khimki - Dynamo Moscow	0:1
Club Friendly
12.02.23	Dynamo Moscow - Khimki	4:2
Russian Premier League
29.10.22	Dynamo Moscow - Khimki	6:1
26.02.22	Khimki - Dynamo Moscow	0:3
22.10.21	Dynamo Moscow - Khimki	4:1
24.04.21	Dynamo Moscow - Khimki	0:1
28.09.20	Khimki - Dynamo Moscow	1:0

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