Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 11

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Krasnodar Stadium (Krasnodar)

Referee: Tsyganok S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Q Sport International
Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Krasnodar		Khimki

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.63	8.62
	1.38	5.58	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	5.61 ↑ (5.22)	8.71 ↓ (9.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
71.5%

Draw
17.3%

Khimki
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.9%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

19%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Krasnodar - Khimki Predictions

Users Predictions: Krasnodar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 98. Petrov S. 3. Tormena 4. Diego Costa 15. Olaza L. 53. Chernikov A. 6. Lenini K. 11. Joao Batxi 10. Spertsyan E. (C) 7. Victor Sa 9. Cordoba J.	87. Kokarev N. (G) 72. Fernandez D. 24. Farina E. 25. Filin A. 13. Terekhov S. 18. Bakaev Z. 10. Abdullahi S. 80. Khosonov K. (C) 22. Mejia R. 91. Zabolotnyi A. 77. Corredera A.
Substitutes
5. Castano K. 90. Cobnan M. D. 13. Dyupin Y. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 31. Kaio 96. Koksharov A. 8. Kozlov D. 88. Krivtsov N. 40. Olusegun O. 19. Smolov F.	44. Burychenkov Y. (G) 14. Dzhikiya G. 55. Kaplenko K. 15. Luna D. 97. Magomedov B. 11. Mirzov R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 8. Panchenko K. 9. Rudenko A. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D. 32. Vera L.
Coaches
Musaev M.	Artiga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Farina E. 🟨,
35', Chernikov A. 🟨,
37', Filin A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Petrov S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Joao Batxi ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
61', Chernikov A. ↓, Castano K. ↑,
61', Victor Sa ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
66', Corredera A. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
66', Abdullahi S. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
66', Bakaev Z. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Castano K. (A),
74', Joao Batxi ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
75', Farina E. ↓, Dzhikiya G. ↑,
80', Lenini K. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
80', Spertsyan E. ↓, Smolov F. ↑,
83', Zabolotnyi A. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Castano K. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Krasnodar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Krasnodar is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Krasnodar: Koksharov A. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25:11 (average 2.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:5 (average 3.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Russian Cup
02.10.24	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.09.24	Krasnodar - Zenit	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Akron Tolyatti - Krasnodar	2:5 ✺
Russian Cup
18.09.24	CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.09.24	Krasnodar - Rostov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- FC Khimki
Russian Cup
02.10.24	Khimki - Rostov	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
29.09.24	Krylya Sovetov - Khimki	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Khimki - Orenburg	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
19.09.24	Khimki - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:5 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.09.24	Akron Tolyatti - Khimki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
12.03.24	Khimki - Krasnodar	2:0
Russian Premier League
02.04.23	Khimki - Krasnodar	0:6
Russian Cup
27.11.22	Krasnodar - Khimki	4:1
Russian Premier League
18.09.22	Krasnodar - Khimki	3:1
Russian Cup
31.08.22	Khimki - Krasnodar	0:2
Russian Premier League
27.11.21	Khimki - Krasnodar	3:3
01.08.21	Krasnodar - Khimki	0:1

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