Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Meshkov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5


	Krylya Sovetov		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.22	3.75	1.87
	4.2	3.87	1.93
	3.65	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	3.71 ↑ (3.4)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov
23.9%

Draw
25.9%

Dynamo Moscow
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27.3%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Dynamo M (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dynamo Moscow will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Moscow will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pesjakov S. (C) 5. Oroz D. 47. Bozhin S. 18. Lepskii I. 15. Rasskazov N. 22. Fernando Costanza 14. Banjac M. 2. Pechenin K. 11. Rahmanovic A. 91. Ignatenko V. 19. Oleynikov I.	99. Lunev A. (G) 50. Kutitsky A. 55. Osipenko M. 19. Zaynutdinov B. 44. Rubens 74. Fomin D. (C) 15. Glebov D. 21. Miranchuk An. 14. Maouhoub E. 33. Sergeev I. 10. Bitello
Substitutes
77. Akhmetov I. 23. Chernov N. 24. Evgenyev R. 39. Frolov E. (G) 38. Gaich A. 3. Galdames T. 21. Ivanisenia D. 80. Kokarev N. (G) 26. Marin J. 9. Sutormin A.	30. Aleksandrov D. 17. Babaev U. 6. Fernandez R. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 2. Marichal N. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 88. Okishor V. 40. Rasulov K. (G) 7. Skopintsev D. 70. Tyukavin K. 56. Zaydenzal L.
Coaches
Adiev M.	Karpin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Fomin D. ⚽, Maouhoub E. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Bitello ⚽, Miranchuk An. (A),
34', 0 - 3, Sergeev I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ignatenko V. ↓, Akhmetov I. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Akhmetov I. ⚽, Pechenin K. (A),
64', Pechenin K. ↓, Galdames T. ↑,
64', Rasskazov N. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
68', Maouhoub E. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
68', Kutitsky A. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
72', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
74', Sergeev I. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
78', Oleynikov I. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
82', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Galdames T. ⚽, Akhmetov I. (A),
90+1', Fomin D. ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
90+1', Rubens ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dynamo M is the team to beat.

There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Rakov V. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes (Achilles Tendon Injury) Caceres J. (Yellow Cards) Chavez L. (Knee Injury) Gladyshev Y. (Muscle Injury) Majstorovic M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Vityugov M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Dynamo M: Maouhoub E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Premier League
21.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
17.09.25	Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.09.25	Krylya Sovetov - Sochi	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWTW
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League
21.09.25	Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
17.09.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
13.09.25	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
27.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 penalties
Russian Premier League
05.05.25	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	1:3
Russian Cup
24.10.24	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	3:6
28.08.24	Dynamo Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	5:1
Russian Premier League
17.08.24	Dynamo Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:0
18.05.24	Dynamo Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	4:1
29.07.23	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	3:3

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