Match Info

RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Amelin A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Khimki		Ural

	1	X	2
	3.84	3.75	1.97
	3.78	3.72	1.91
	3.45	3.65	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.6)	3.71 ↑ (3.53)	1.95 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimki
25.7%

Draw
25.6%

Ural
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khimki's form might have worsened.

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ural's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khimki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ural, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Khimki - Ural Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Khimki will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ural will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 22. Skvortsov L. 2. Golubovic P. 23. Melentijevic S. 66. Leo Andrade 5. Antic N. 99. Guliev A. 20. Glavcic N. 16. Bikel J. 97. Magomedov B. 9. Rudenko A.	1. Pomazun I. (G) 46. Mamin A. 24. Filipenko E. 2. Begic S. 22. Beveev M. 6. Cisse I. 19. Miskic D. 5. Egorychev A. 3. Goglichidze L. 7. Yushin A. 10. Bicfalvi E.
Substitutes
13. Alkhazov A. 43. Cherchesov S. (G) 3. Chezhia I. 17. Gonzalez C. 79. Gorshkov S. 80. Kotev L. 50. Lystsov V. 37. Malykhin D. 11. Marcos Guilherme 7. Sadygov I.	77. Baklov O. (G) 79. Kashtanov A. 21. Podberezkin V. 9. Randjelovic L. 75. Sungatulin F. 99. Tatarinov E. 17. Tsulukidze L. 14. Zheleznov Y.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Goncharenko V.

Preview

Khimki has the most likely position - 15 (100%), project points - 20, currently - 18, already of relegated.

Ural has the most likely position - 11 (64.17%), project points - 33, currently - 30, a very small chance of relegated (4%), not chance of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khimki won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Ural could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ural will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Khimki won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Khimki won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khimki
Russian Premier League
20.05.23	Akhmat Grozny - Khimki	3:0 ✺
13.05.23	Khimki - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Khimki - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki	5:1 ✺
22.04.23	Khimki - Torpedo Moscow	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLLW
- FK Ural
Russian Premier League
21.05.23	Krylya Sovetov - Ural	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
17.05.23	Krasnodar - Ural	2:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
13.05.23	Ural - Orenburg	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Ural	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
03.05.23	Ural - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
07.10.22	Ural - Khimki	2:1
19.03.22	Ural - Khimki	0:1
31.10.21	Khimki - Ural	0:0
02.05.21	Khimki - Ural	1:0
12.09.20	Ural - Khimki	3:1
Russian Cup
19.07.20	Ural - Khimki	1:3
Russian FNL Cup
17.02.20	Ural - Khimki	0:0

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