The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akhmat Grozny 48.5%
Draw 26.4%
Khimki 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
24.3%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
25.1%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akhmat Grozny's form might have worsened.
Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khimki's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akhmat Grozny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Akhmat Grozny - Khimki Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Khimki will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Shelia G. (G) 95. Adamov A. 2. Zhirov A. 75. Ghandri N. 55. Todorovic D. 15. Camilo 23. Shvets A. 11. Silva Lima I. 8. Bogosavac M. 7. Berisha B. 30. Felippe
96. Obukhov I. (G) 25. Filin A. 24. Farina E. 99. Orinho 72. Fernandez D. 80. Khosonov K. 32. Vera L. 10. Abdullahi S. 18. Bakaev Z. 91. Zabolotnyi A. 11. Mirzov R.
Substitutes
24. Divanovic Z. 4. Ibishev T. 18. Kamilov V. 36. Lovat L. 19. Luna Diale M. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 13. Matsuev M. 1. Oparin M. (G) 10. Sadulaev L. 5. Satara M. 40. Utsiev R. 71. Yakuev M.
17. Berkovskiy I. 88. Glushakov D. 27. Gogoua A. 2. Golubovic P. 87. Kokarev N. (G) 97. Magomedov B. 8. Panchenko K. 9. Rudenko A. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D. 13. Terekhov S. 23. Volkov Z.
Coaches
Adiev M.
Artiga F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Farina E. 🟨,
31', Zhirov A. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Mirzov R. ⚽, Fernandez D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Shvets A. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
59', Bakaev Z. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
59', Mirzov R. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
64', Adamov A. ↓, Sadulaev L. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Rudenko A. ⚽,
72', Silva Lima I. ↓, Luna Diale M. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Zhirov A. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Felippe ⚽,
83', Ghandri N. 🟨,
84', Vera L. ↓, Berkovskiy I. ↑,
90', Magomedov B. 🟨,
90+2', Magomedov B. 🟥,
90+3', 3 - 2, Lovat L. ⚽,
90+4', Lovat L. 🟨,
90+6', Abdullahi S. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
90+6', Orinho ↓, Terekhov S. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 3, Zabolotnyi A. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 4.
Akhmat is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Khimki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Khimki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Akhmat will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Akhmat: Kharin E.
(Injury)
Samorodov M.
(Injury)
Talal A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Khimki: Andjelkovic N.
(Muscle Injury)
Panchenko K.
(Muscle Injury)
Terekhov S.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Akhmat won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.