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Current Win Probability
Ural 44.9%
Draw 29.4%
Orenburg 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
27.1%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
25.2%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ural that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
Ural - Orenburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pomazun I. (G) 15. Kulakov D. 2. Begic S. 4. Emerson 16. Italo 8. Miskic D. 55. Ayupov T. 5. Egorychev A. 97. Ishkov I. 79. Kashtanov A. 21. Dmitriev I.
99. Sysuev N. (G) 6. Adamov A. 22. Perez M. 4. Khotulev D. 5. Goglichidze L. 8. Basic I. 14. Mikhailov Y. 80. Marin J. 66. Ghorbani M. 10. Vorobyev D. 9. Mansilla B.
Substitutes
22. Beveev M. 10. Bicfalvi E. 3. Bocherov V. 44. Cisse I. 24. Filipenko E. 18. Gazinskiy Y. 11. Ionov A. 80. Kontsevoy A. 17. Malkevich V. 71. Mamin A. (G) 9. Schettine G. 20. Vloet R.
90. Kenyaykin A. (G) 12. Malykh A. 24. Muro T. 13. Obukhov V. 11. Oganesyan S. 2. Poluyakhtov V. 87. Prokhin D. 81. Sidorov M. 3. Sivakov M. 38. Titkov N. 23. Vera L.
Coaches
Goncharenko V.
Deogracia D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Marin J. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Begic S. ⚽, Kashtanov A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Ghorbani M. ⚽, Marin J. (A),
58', 1 - 3, Perez M. ⚽, Basic I. (A),
59', Ayupov T. ↓, Schettine G. ↑,
59', Kashtanov A. ↓, Bicfalvi E. ↑,
60', 2 - 3, Begic S. ⚽, Ishkov I. (A),
64', Mikhailov Y. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
71', Ishkov I. ↓, Ionov A. ↑,
71', Egorychev A. ↓, Gazinskiy Y. ↑,
78', 3 - 3, Schettine G. ⚽,
80', Marin J. ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
86', Miskic D. ↓, Vloet R. ↑,
86', Mansilla B. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
89', Adamov A. 🟨,
89', Schettine G. 🟨,
90+7', Begic S. 🟨,
90+7', Sysuev N. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural won 2.
Recent matches Ural is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Orenburg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Orenburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Ural will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Ural won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Ural won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Serbia
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Pomazun I. (G) 
Kulakov D. 
Begic S. 
Emerson 
Italo 
Perez M. 
Basic I. 
Marin J. 
Ghorbani M. 
Bicfalvi E. 
Bocherov V. 
Cisse I. 
Vloet R. 
Deogracia D. 
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