Match Info
Premier League - Round 18Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday
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Nairobi United |
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Kakamega Homeboyz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.58 |
2.78 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.77 |
2.91 |
2.63 |
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 |
2.33 |
2.88 |
3.16 |
 Watch |
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2.63 |
2.7 |
2.63 |
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2.65 |
2.85 |
2.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59
(2.59) |
2.82 ↓
(2.94) |
2.76 ↑
(2.73) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nairobi United
35% | Draw
32.1% | Kakamega Homeboyz
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Nairobi United - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3).Nairobi United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Homeboyz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Homeboyz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nairobi United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).Including home match between the teams, Nairobi United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Kakamega Homeboyz - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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