Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Location: Bieberer Berg Stadion (Offenbach am Main)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Norway	VG+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Kickers Offenbach		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.62	Watch
	5	4.33	1.6
	5	4.5	1.62	Watch
	4.84	4.27	1.6
	4.9	4.41	1.62	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.53
	4.93	4.4	1.61	Watch
	5	4.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (4.35)	4.35 ↑ (3.79)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kickers Offenbach
19.3%

Draw
21.7%

Magdeburg
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.5%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

27.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kickers Offenbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magdeburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kickers Offenbach than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Kickers Offenbach - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Offenbach will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brinkies J. (G) 32. Moreno Giesel V. 13. Knothe N. 5. Sorge A. 31. Marcos R. 11. Barry B. 6. Dejanovic D. 17. Wachs M. (C) 14. Cesen K. 10. Nazarov D. 21. Berlinski R.	1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 15. Heber D. 11. El Hankouri M. 25. Gnaka S. 14. El-Zein A. 19. Musonda L. 8. Teixeira B. 29. Burcu L. 9. Kaars M.
Substitutes
18. Becker L. (G) 24. Karada O. 23. Korb S. 37. Kovacic O. 7. Mensah S. 26. Mesanovic A. 9. Mustafa V. 20. Pfeiffer I. 8. Unlucifci O.	20. Amaechi X. 4. Dzogovic E. 37. Ito T. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 26. Marusic A. 21. Michel F. 5. Muller T. 17. Nollenberger A.
Coaches
Neidhart C.	Titz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Gnaka S. 🟨,
17', Burcu L. 🟨,
19', Kovacic O. 🟨,
24', Nazarov D. 🟨,
28', Wachs M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Sorge A. ⚽, Wachs M. (A),
38', Hugonet J. 🟨,
45+2', Sorge A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Teixeira B. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
46', El Hankouri M. ↓, Nollenberger A. ↑,
46', Hugonet J. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Kaars M. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
67', Nazarov D. ↓, Mustafa V. ↑,
67', Berlinski R. ↓, Unlucifci O. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Mustafa V. ⚽, Wachs M. (A),
76', Ito T. 🟨,
77', Burcu L. ↓, Krempicki C. ↑,
84', Gnaka S. ↓, Marusic A. ↑,
87', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
90+2', Marusic A. 🟨,
90+6', Musonda L. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Magdeburg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Offenbach won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Offenbach won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kickers Offenbach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
10.08.24	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Kickers Offenbach - FSV Frankfurt	5:0 ✺
27.07.24	Freiburg II - Kickers Offenbach	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Kickers Offenbach - Köln	1:3 ✺
12.07.24	Kickers Offenbach - Rot-Weiss Walldorf	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTLW
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
11.08.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
03.08.24	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Magdeburg - Sampdoria	2:4 ✺
26.07.24	Norwich City - Magdeburg	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Magdeburg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Play Offs
31.05.15	Kickers Offenbach - Magdeburg	1:3
27.05.15	Magdeburg - Kickers Offenbach	1:0

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