Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.8	2.4
	2.45	3.65	2.48
	2.59	3.95	2.63
	2.53	3.66	2.53	Watch
	2.62	3.76	2.47	Watch
	2.6	3.65	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.62)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
37.1%

Draw
25.3%

Elversberg
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.1%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

The chances for Elversberg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Magdeburg - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Elversberg will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Magdeburg (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Elversberg (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Elversberg (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 19. Musonda L. 25. Gnaka S. 8. Ulrich L. 17. Nollenberger A. 29. Ghrieb R. 9. Breunig M. 23. Atik B.	20. Kristof N. (G) 2. Mickelson N. 31. Rohr M. 3. Le Joncour F. 43. Keidel F. 6. Conde A. (C) 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.
Substitutes
14. El-Zein A. 28. Geschwill M. 27. Hercher P. 38. Hyrylainen L. 30. Kruth N. (G) 2. Loric S. 21. Michel F. 45. Onaiwu A. 6. Stalmach D.	28. Boss T. (G) 11. Ceka J. 7. Feil M. 14. Malanga J. 32. Pantschenko D. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C. 9. Stange O.
Coaches
Fiedler M.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Mickelson N. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Conte B. ⚽, Mickelson N. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Zimmerschied T. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Petkov L. 🟨,
50', Atik B. 🟨,
61', Musonda L. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
61', Ghrieb R. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
63', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
64', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
64', Mickelson N. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
72', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
73', Muller T. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Stange O. ⚽,
79', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
80', 0 - 4, Malanga J. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
84', Breunig M. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
89', Conte B. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Magdeburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Elversberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Zukowski M. (Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Gunther L. (Muscle Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Elversberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Magdeburg - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Elversberg - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.65%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Elversberg	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.01.25	Elversberg - Magdeburg	2:5
03.08.24	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:0
06.04.24	Elversberg - Magdeburg	0:0
29.10.23	Magdeburg - Elversberg	1:2

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