Match Info

National League North - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.5	4.15	5.3
	1.53	4.3	5.46	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.5	3.96	5.54
	1.5	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	4.04 ↑ (3.83)	5.44 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
60.6%

Draw
22.6%

Curzon Ashton
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kidderminster Harriers's performance.

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kidderminster (votes: 1 - 50%). Curzon Ashton (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Davis D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 4.

Kidderminster is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Curzon Ashton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kidderminster is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kidderminster will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kidderminster won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
30.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - AFC Telford United	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Hereford - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Fylde	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Worksop Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League North
06.12.25	South Shields - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWW
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
30.12.25	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:4 ✺
26.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Merthyr Town - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Marine	1:2 ✺
English National League North
06.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
12.04.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton	3:0
06.11.24	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
24.01.23	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
16.08.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton	1:2
26.03.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton	5:0
14.12.21	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1

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