Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Winners stage

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Toolon Pallokentta (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kiffen 08		HPS

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.75	6.00
	1.33	4.90	5.80
	1.27	5.80	7.35
	1.3	5.55	6.88	Watch
	1.25	5.70	7.25
	1.32	5.55	7.77
	1.5	4.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.54)	5.38 ↑ (4.1)	6.52 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiffen 08
69%

Draw
17%

HPS
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

21.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

19.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiffen 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiffen 08's performance.

HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiffen 08 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiffen 08 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Kiffen 08 - HPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shumilov S. (G) 11. Haajanen A. 37. Koivumaki M. 8. Kovalainen J. 4. Loukiainen A. (C) 28. Makinen A. 33. Maliki S. 32. Mehmeti E. 23. Nevalainen R. 7. Niska R. 27. Saarikko T.	1. Hallikainen L. (G) 16. Eskola J. 27. Gronberg S. 46. Lamberg E. 14. Lilja S. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 10. Rekola B. 11. Ryhanen T. 7. Simonov I. 24. Sipola J.
Substitutes
25. Ferati G. 10. Hopsu M. 12. Kallman R. (G) 29. Kantelinen S. 15. Kyander J. 21. Lappalainen I. 17. Lehtojuuri A. 19. Peetumber M. 24. Ruismaki R.	37. Alatalo A. 5. Immonen N. 26. Kilic B. 33. Kuusniemi T. 4. Niskanen M. 19. Saukkonen J. 25. Tamminen J. (G) 49. Tusa K. 8. Vaisanen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Haajanen A. ⚽,
32', Kovalainen J. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Haajanen A. ⚽,
52', Saarikko T. 🟨,
62', Rekola B. ↓, Alatalo A. ↑,
62', Sipola J. ↓, Tusa K. ↑,
70', Haajanen A. ↓, Kantelinen S. ↑,
71', Lindstrom A. ↓, Vaisanen O. ↑,
71', Ryhanen T. ↓, Immonen N. ↑,
74', Lilja S. 🟨,
82', Kovalainen J. ↓, Ruismaki R. ↑,
83', Maliki S. ↓, Ferati G. ↑,
88', Saarikko T. ↓, Peetumber M. ↑,
88', Mehmeti E. ↓, Lappalainen I. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Merilainen K. ⚽,

Preview

Kiffen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

HPS is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Kiffen is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kiffen will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiffen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiffen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 3.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kiffen 08
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.08.26	Kiffen 08 - HPS	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	Puistolan Urheilijat - Kiffen 08	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Kiffen 08 - Union Plaani	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	MYPA - Kiffen 08	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Kiffen 08 - HIFK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTT
- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.08.26	Kiffen 08 - HPS	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	HPS - Union Plaani	0:3 ✺
07.08.26	PPJ Ruoholahti - HPS	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	HPS - HIFK	5:5 ✺
25.07.26	Atlantis Helsinki - HPS	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.08.26	Kiffen 08 - HPS	5:1
12.06.26	HPS - Kiffen 08	1:2
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
04.09.25	Kiffen 08 - HPS	2:3
25.07.25	HPS - Kiffen 08	1:0
23.05.25	Kiffen 08 - HPS	3:1

Kiffen 08 - HPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide