Match Info

Premier League

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Kigali		Muhanga

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6.1
	1.57	3.02	7.3
	1.58	3.14	7.29
	1.53	3.2	6
	1.57	3.1	7.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	3.19 ↓ (3.53)	6.75 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kigali
58.3%

Draw
28.3%

Muhanga
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

25.9%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

25%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Kigali - Muhanga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Muhanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kigali is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Kigali FC	3	0	1	2	0:4	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
01.03.26	Kigali - Etincelles	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Kigali - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Amagaju - Kigali	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Police - Kigali	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Kigali - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLWWL
- AS Muhanga
Rwanda Premier League
01.03.26	Muhanga - Police	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Muhanga - Rutsiro	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Etincelles - Muhanga	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Muhanga - Gasogi United	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Muhanga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
13.12.25	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0
03.03.20	Kigali - Muhanga	1:0
30.10.19	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0
10.05.19	Kigali - Muhanga	2:1
29.12.18	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0
16.10.15	Muhanga - Kigali	0:2

Kigali - Muhanga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide