Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Kimberley de Mar del Plata		Sansinena

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.7
	1.79	3.08	4.49
	1.8	3.29	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.97)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)	4.24 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
49.8%

Draw
28.8%

Sansinena
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sansinena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kimberley de Mar del Plata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sansinena than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sansinena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Parra J. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Pereyra A. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Recent matches Kimberley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sansinena is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kimberley is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.05.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sol de Mayo	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTL
- CA Sansinena
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.05.24	Sansinena - Círculo Deportivo	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Sol de Mayo - Sansinena	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Sansinena - Deportivo Rincón	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Germinal - Sansinena	4:1 ✺
10.04.24	Sansinena - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLL

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