Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jose Antonio Valle (Mar del Plata)


	Kimberley de Mar del Plata		Círculo Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.25	6.00
	1.57	3.30	5.80
	1.55	3.38	6.14
	1.62	3.33	6.64	Watch
	1.52	3.30	5.90
	1.60	3.54	6.24
	1.46	3.65	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	6.16 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
58.5%

Draw
26.8%

Círculo Deportivo
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 5. De Gaetani A. 4. Loscalso T. 10. Manas F. 2. Masino M. 8. Miori M. 11. Rios R. 7. Russo F. 3. Sosa H.	1. Fernandez P. (G) 7. Barberini V. 8. Bassani J. 3. Buscaglia S. 5. Gomez L. 9. Iriberri I. (C) 11. Rius C. 2. Rojas F. 4. Torres C. 6. Vilchez J. 10. Villalba D.
Substitutes
12. Aguayo D. (G) 15. Chavez S. 14. Espinosa L. 16. Marmol B. 19. Perez L. 20. Santillan J. 17. Tello L. 18. Ullua E. 13. Vazquez A.	15. Campagnaro M. 17. Castelli B. 19. Cos B. 16. Gimenez T. 18. Juarez R. 12. Lerena S. (G) 13. Lucero J. 20. Opazo D. 14. Sasso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', 🟨,
13', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Campagnaro M. ⚽,

Preview

Kimberley is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

Círculo Deportivo is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kimberley won 3.

Kimberley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Círculo Deportivo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Círculo Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kimberley is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kimberley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kimberley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Sol de Mayo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
07.06.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTTL
- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Alvarado - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1
18.05.25	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1
16.03.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	0:1
02.06.24	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1
07.04.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	0:1

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