Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Kimberley de Mar del Plata		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.4	8
	1.41	3.55	9.2
	1.44	3.26	9.44
	1.52	3.28	9.71	Watch
	1.36	3.81	9.9
	1.41	3.55	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (2.04)	3.48 ↑ (2.93)	9.24 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
63.9%

Draw
26.3%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

32.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kimberley de Mar del Plata's performance.

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Resistencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kimberley de Mar del Plata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Vazquez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 1, Montenegro R. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Gomez G. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	4:3 ✺
08.09.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWTW
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Unión de Sunchales - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Crucero del Norte	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0

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