Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Kings Langley		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	2.4
	2.44	3.35	2.49
	2.52	3.41	2.58
	2.53	3.44	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)	3.4 (3.4)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kings Langley
36.9%

Draw
26.7%

Merthyr Town
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

18.7%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kings Langley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kings Langley than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kings Langley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kings Langley - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kings Langley has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Merthyr is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Merthyr have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kings Langley won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Kings Langley won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kings Langley
English Southern League South Division
19.10.21	Kings Langley - Harrow Borough	0:2 ✺
16.10.21	Farnborough - Kings Langley	4:1 ✺
12.10.21	Metropolitan Police - Kings Langley	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	Kings Langley - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Tiverton Town - Kings Langley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTL
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
19.10.21	Merthyr Town - Poole Town	0:3 ✺
16.10.21	Metropolitan Police - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Merthyr Town - Walton Casuals	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Merthyr Town - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Merthyr Town - Farnborough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
02.03.19	Kings Langley - Merthyr Town	1:0
08.12.18	Merthyr Town - Kings Langley	1:1
English Southern Premier League
14.04.18	Merthyr Town - Kings Langley	4:1
16.12.17	Kings Langley - Merthyr Town	2:2
01.04.17	Kings Langley - Merthyr Town	2:2
10.12.16	Merthyr Town - Kings Langley	5:0

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