Match Info
Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Merthyr Town |
|
Farnborough |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
1.88 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
|
 |
3.63 |
4.07 |
1.84 |
|
 |
3.42 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.55) |
3.82 ↑
(3.64) |
1.88 ↓
(2.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town
27.4% | Draw
24% | Farnborough
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Farnborough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Merthyr Town - Farnborough Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Preview
Merthyr is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Farnborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Merthyr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Farnborough have a series of home games. Farnborough will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5. Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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