Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: The Royals Park (Butema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	FUFA TV, Sanyuka TV


	Kitara		NEC FC

	1	X	2
	1.68	3	5.35
	1.61	3.14	5.33
	1.65	3.22	5.71	Watch
	1.62	3	5.5
	1.61	3.15	6.13
	1.7	3.05	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	5.59 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitara
54.8%

Draw
29.1%

NEC FC
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

29.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

31.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Kitara - NEC FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Basangwa R. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 1.

Recent performances by Kitara have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

NEC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

NEC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kitara is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kitara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	NEC FC	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
9	Kitara	3	1	2	0	3:2	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitara FC
Ugandan Cup
03.05.26	Kitara - Vipers	0:0 ✺
Ugandan Super League
30.04.26	Kitara - Villa	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Lugazi Municipal - Kitara	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Kitara - Calvary	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Kampala City Council - Kitara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWTL
- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
28.04.26	Bul - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	NEC FC - Mbarara City	0:0 ✺
21.04.26	Express - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	NEC FC - Maroons	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	NEC FC - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
24.01.26	NEC FC - Kitara	3:3
10.04.25	NEC FC - Kitara	2:1
19.09.24	Kitara - NEC FC	1:2
Ugandan Cup
25.05.24	NEC FC - Kitara	0:1
Ugandan Super League
04.04.24	NEC FC - Kitara	1:0
02.12.23	Kitara - NEC FC	1:0

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