Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)


	NEC FC		Mbarara City

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.65	9.8
	1.27	5.11	8.9
	1.27	5.18	8.84	Watch
	1.25	4.5	11
	1.3	4.75	10
	1.25	4.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)	4.78 ↑ (4.53)	9.76 ↓ (10.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC FC
71.7%

Draw
19%

Mbarara City
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

19.9%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

NEC FC - Mbarara City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Sebwalunyo H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

NEC is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mbarara City has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mbarara City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, NEC has had a series of home games.

In this match, NEC is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, NEC won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, NEC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	NEC FC	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
16	Mbarara City	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
21.04.26	Express - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	NEC FC - Maroons	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	NEC FC - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
03.04.26	NEC FC - Vipers	0:1 penalties ✺
17.03.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLW
- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
09.04.26	UPDF - Mbarara City	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Bul - Mbarara City	0:0 ✺
10.03.26	Mbarara City - Kitara	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Mbarara City - Vipers	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
01.11.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	0:1
30.04.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	1:2
04.01.25	NEC FC - Mbarara City	1:0
09.02.24	NEC FC - Mbarara City	2:0

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