Match Info

MOL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Frantiska Kloze (Kladno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4


	Kladno		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.42
	4.60	4.33	1.50
	5.3	4.8	1.43
	6.19	5.17	1.42
	5.5	4.88	1.42	Watch
	6.1	4.65	1.4
	5.21	4.69	1.48	Watch
	5	4.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (4)	4.72 ↑ (3.95)	1.44 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kladno
17%

Draw
19.4%

Baník Ostrava
63.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.2%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.4%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kladno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kladno's form might have worsened.

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baník Ostrava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kladno than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kladno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Kladno - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Baník Ostrava will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kotlin A. (G) 27. Kozojed J. 5. Hrdlicka P. 25. Toml M. (C) 12. Marco Tulio 4. Chalupa J. 22. Samek D. 26. Smejkal T. 7. Hruska H. 17. Gembicky D. 9. Jurcenko D.	1. Budinsky V. (G) 44. Skyba Y. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 37. Chalus M. 81. Kmet M. 83. Nogha R. 8. Traore A. 3. Smith R. 19. Sancl F. 15. Jurecka V. 28. Kubala F.
Substitutes
8. Citek V. 15. Hrubes K. 6. Jedlicka M. 24. Jerabek J. 20. Kasparek D. 18. Lacko J. 1. Nalezinek F. (G) 11. Novotny O. 23. Osmani E. 10. Pospisil T. 19. Sulaiman S.	34. Bewene A. 6. Bitta M. 5. Boula J. 95. Holzer D. 23. Jedlicka M. (G) 21. Kohut M. 20. Ouly M. 18. Planka D. 25. Temel M.
Coaches
Hasek Z.	Skuhravy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Skyba Y. ⚽, Chalus M. (A),
44', Skyba Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hruska H. ↓, Pospisil T. ↑,
46', Smejkal T. ↓, Kasparek D. ↑,
46', Skyba Y. ↓, Holzer D. ↑,
46', Kubala F. ↓, Bitta M. ↑,
46', Smith R. ↓, Planka D. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Jurcenko D. ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
73', Chalupa J. ↓, Sulaiman S. ↑,
75', Kmet M. ↓, Bewene A. ↑,
83', Marco Tulio 🟨,
84', Gembicky D. ↓, Novotny O. ↑,
89', Jurcenko D. ↓, Lacko J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Sancl F. ↓, Boula J. ↑,
106', Planka D. ↓, Kohut M. ↑,
108', Toml M. 🟨,
119', 1 - 2, Jurecka V. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
120', Kozojed J. ↓, Citek V. ↑,

Preview

In recent outings, Kladno has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Baník Ostrava has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Baník Ostrava could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Baník Ostrava is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Kladno
Czech Division 2
20.09.26	Kladno - Příbram	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Táborsko - Kladno	3:3 ✺
04.09.26	Karviná - Kladno	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Kladno - Viktoria Žižkov	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Prostějov - Kladno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLWL
- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
19.09.26	Slovácko - Baník Ostrava	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Baník Ostrava - Pardubice	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Jablonec - Baník Ostrava	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW

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