Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Flota Świnoujście		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.40	2.10
	2.75	3.45	2.10
	3.15	3.68	1.99
	2.77	3.64	2.19	Watch
	3.05	3.40	1.97
	3.19	3.71	2.01	Watch
	2.21	3.41	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.21)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	2.14 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
31.8%

Draw
25.7%

Unia Swarzędz
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flota Świnoujście's form might have worsened.

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Swarzędz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flota Świnoujście, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Swarzędz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kolodziej S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Zaborniak D. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 15th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flota won 1.

In recent outings, Flota has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Unia Swarzędz is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Flota has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:20 (averaging 1.6:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Flota against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 2:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Flota Świnoujście - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Flota Świnoujście	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:5 ✺
22.08.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Września	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTW
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	4:3 ✺
04.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:2
04.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1
19.04.25	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:3
20.09.24	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	4:1
18.05.24	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	4:0
28.10.23	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:4
24.04.21	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	2:3

Upcoming Matches