Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Wda Świecie		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.60	3.60
	1.80	3.50	3.55
	1.92	3.46	3.31
	1.8	3.86	3.61	Watch
	1.89	3.40	3.25
	1.86	3.87	3.51	Watch
	1.97	3.41	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.97)	3.59 ↑ (3.41)	3.41 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wda Świecie
48.4%

Draw
25.1%

Flota Świnoujście
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wda Świecie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wda Świecie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flota Świnoujście could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wda Świecie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Slaby P. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th and 14th).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Flota could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Flota has had a run of games away from home.

Wda Świecie is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Wda Świecie has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wda Świecie against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Wda Swiecie	14	8	3	3	22:18	4	27
14	Swinoujscie	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.10.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	1:4 ✺
10.10.26	Luzino - Wda Świecie	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLT
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.10.26	Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Noteć Czarnków - Flota Świnoujście	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Flota Świnoujście	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.05.26	Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie	0:3
18.10.25	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	2:1
08.03.25	Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie	2:1
17.08.24	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	0:1

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