Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Wda Świecie		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.9
	4.24	3.7	1.66
	3.25	3.68	1.95	Watch
	3.28	3.56	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.25)	3.69 ↑ (3.63)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wda Świecie
25.8%

Draw
24.8%

Flota Świnoujście
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.3%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Dawid I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Turski H. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Wozny P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3).

In recent matches, Wda Świecie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Flota might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wda Świecie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Wda Świecie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Wda Świecie - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	6:0 ✺
14.09.25	Wda Świecie - Elana Toruń	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLL
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.10.25	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.03.25	Flota Świnoujście - Wda Świecie	2:1
17.08.24	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	0:1

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