Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 17

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Ballinamallard United		Newington

	1	X	2
	3	3.45	2.12
	3.11	3.70	2.10	Watch
	3.04	3.42	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	2.1 (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
30.1%

Draw
26.1%

Newington
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.3%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

25.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ballinamallard United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Ballinamallard United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Ballinamallard United - Newington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 3)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Newington might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ballinamallard won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballinamallard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
15.11.25	Queens University Belfast - Ballinamallard United	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ballinamallard United - Ards	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ballinamallard United	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ballinamallard United - Loughgall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLL
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
15.11.25	Newington - Dundela	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Limavady United - Newington	3:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
04.11.25	Ballymena United - Newington	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
01.11.25	Newington - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Loughgall - Newington	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
05.09.25	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:1
12.04.25	Newington - Ballinamallard United	2:1
18.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Newington	3:2
23.11.24	Newington - Ballinamallard United	1:0
07.09.24	Ballinamallard United - Newington	4:1
06.04.24	Ballinamallard United - Newington	3:1
17.02.24	Newington - Ballinamallard United	1:2

Ballinamallard United - Newington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide