Match Info

Super Lig - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kocaelispor		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	3.13	3.13	2.29	Watch
	3.37	3.28	2.35
	3.2	3.22	2.32	Watch
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.35	3.26	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.83)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	2.31 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
29.8%

Draw
29.4%

İstanbul Başakşehir
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	35.7%	57.1%

Kocaelispor - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Başakşehir (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 22. Oguz A. (C) 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 3. Cinan M. 20. Susoho M. 14. Show 8. Keita H. 7. Agyei D. 19. Dursun S. 75. Bingol T.	16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 8. Kemen O. 20. Gunes U. 7. Sari Y. 14. Shomurodov E. 25. Harit A. 9. Selke D.
Substitutes
16. Ceylan D. 17. Churlinov D. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 18. Gedik F. 70. Keles C. 10. Linetty K. 98. Nonge J. 9. Petkovic B. 99. Rivas R. 23. Yalcin S.	80. Alemdar D. (G) 27. Ba O. 77. Brnic I. 6. Bulut O. 13. Crespo M. 10. Da Costa N. 4. Ergun O. 18. Kaluzinski J. 88. Karatas K. 91. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Inan S.	Sahin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gunes U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
68', Cinan M. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
68', Bingol T. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
73', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
83', Susoho M. ↓, Linetty K. ↑,
83', Keita H. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
83', Shomurodov E. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
90', Oguz A. ↓, Keles C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).

Kocaelispor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Başakşehir has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A. (Knee Injury) Petkovic B. (Muscle Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Operi C. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kocaelispor	7	4	0	3	8:6	2	12
11	Basaksehir	7	2	2	3	10:11	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Kocaelispor - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

İstanbul Başakşehir - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
18.03.26	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	5:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kocaelispor - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Eyüpspor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
18.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
27.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
31.10.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kocaelispor	1:0

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