Match Info

Super Lig - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Kocaelispor		Alanyaspor

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.46	3.12	2.98
	2.58	3.4	2.98
	2.31	3.50	2.94	Watch
	2.49	3.3	2.93	Watch
	2.32	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.31)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
39.3%

Draw
28.8%

Alanyaspor
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	14.3%	23.8%

Kocaelispor - Alanyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Alanyaspor (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alanyaspor (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.51) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 6 - 60%). Alanyaspor (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 22. Oguz A. (C) 5. Balogh B. 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 8. Keita H. 10. Linetty K. 7. Agyei D. 98. Nonge J. 75. Bingol T. 19. Dursun S.	1. Taskiran E. (G) 3. Lima N. 30. Bruno Viana 50. Akdag U. 11. Ruan 42. Makouta G. 17. Janvier N. 88. Ozdemir Y. (C) 14. Hagi I. 22. Ogundu U. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo
Substitutes
3. Cinan M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 18. Gedik F. 70. Keles C. 99. Rivas R. 11. Sagat A. 15. Serbest T. 14. Show 34. Syrota O. 23. Yalcin S.	20. Aksoy F. 23. Bayram M. (G) 6. Celik I. 12. Elia M. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 27. Kaya I. 8. Keskin E. 18. Mogultay B. 4. Ozyurt B. 48. Paulo Victor (G)
Coaches
Inan S.	Pereira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Nonge J. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
60', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Elia M. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Bingol T. ⚽,
74', Ogundu U. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
80', Bruno Viana ↓, Aksoy F. ↑,
81', Hagi I. ↓, Hadergjonaj F. ↑,
81', Makouta G. ↓, Celik I. ↑,
86', Bingol T. ↓, Show ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Dursun S. ⚽, Keles C. (A),
90+1', Dursun S. ↓, Cinan M. ↑,
90+2', Keita H. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Haidara M. (Injury) Petkovic B. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Aliti F. (Yellow Cards) Bulut B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Churlinov D. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Kocaelispor - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.89%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Alanyaspor - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
18.10.25	Konyaspor - Kocaelispor	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Kocaelispor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Gaziantep - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLTL
- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
19.10.25	Alanyaspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0

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