Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Kocaelispor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.65	4	5	Watch
	1.72	3.86	5.08
	1.69	3.79	4.8
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.58	3.9	5.18	Watch
	1.65	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	3.83 ↑ (3.74)	4.93 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
56.8%

Draw
24.3%

Umraniyespor
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.8%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

27.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 15. Serbest T. 8. Celik C. 70. Alici B. 6. Pedrinho 20. Mendes R. 17. Caglayan O.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 4. Eser M. 44. Glumac T. 23. Apaydin F. 6. Dokanovic A. 27. Soukou C. 5. Hoti E. 10. Bardhi J. 22. Ekincier B. 29. Minchev G.
Substitutes
7. Beridze G. 11. Caktas M. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 32. Yilmaz M.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 15. Aktas K. 20. Babacan A. 77. Benny 24. Buyuksayar M. A. 97. Cavare D. 19. Celik B. 8. Goksu S. 53. Oksuz B. 7. Okutan M.
Coaches
Saglam E.	Sanli T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Serbest T. 🟨,
43', Dokanovic A. 🟨,
45+3', Yildirim O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Caglayan O. (Pen),
58', Minchev G. 🟨,
63', Bardhi J. ↓, Benny ↑,
63', Ekincier B. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
72', Celik C. ↓, Vukovic J. ↑,
72', Alici B. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
75', Hoti E. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
81', Mendes R. ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
81', Caglayan O. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
85', Soukou C. ↓, Buyuksayar M. A. ↑,
85', Yildirim O. ↓, Cavare D. ↑,
90+2', Cavare D. 🟨,
90+7', Pedrinho ↓, Tunali M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Marcao (Ribs Injury) Sarman H. A. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0:8 (average 0:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
06.10.24	İstanbulspor - Kocaelispor	0:3 ✺
30.09.24	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Çorum - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	Amed SK - Kocaelispor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLL
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
05.10.24	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor	1:3 ✺
22.09.24	Umraniyespor - Adanaspor	5:2 ✺
14.09.24	İstanbulspor - Umraniyespor	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
22.04.24	Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor	1:0
01.12.23	Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor	0:3
08.01.22	Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor	1:0
16.08.21	Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor	0:3

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