Match Info

Super League - Round 22

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Surkhon (Termez)

Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)


	Surkhon Termez		Kokand 1912

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.25	2.92	3
	2.38	2.99	3.17
	2.32	2.98	3.11	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.1
	2.37	3.02	3.17
	2.3	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.16)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	3.08 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surkhon Termez
39.5%

Draw
30.8%

Kokand 1912
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Kokand 1912 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Surkhon Termez - Kokand 1912 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Merganov D. (G) 14. Ashuboyev T. 21. Dzebniauri T. 11. Friday R. 19. Kodirov F. 15. Ramazonov D. 6. Shamsiev B. 66. Shaydulov B. 8. Sherbutaev K. 26. Shukurullaev B. 7. Tursunov D.	13. Davronov R. (G) 19. Akromov S. 21. Gulyamov G. 8. Gvazava S. 15. Khakimov Z. 99. Khasanov M. 20. Malikdzhonov I. 11. Nimely S. 7. Sidikov J. 90. Uktamov A. 5. Yakubov J.
Substitutes
17. Abdukhamidov S. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 25. Boymurodov O. (G) 41. Daminov A. 31. Ergashev K. 39. Mirusmonov M. 27. Musaxonov M. 18. Uktamov B. 23. Yusupov K.	18. Fazliddinov M. 10. Gadoev S. 44. Giorgadze A. 9. Khusanov J. 70. Mahmuxojiyev S. 24. Mirnazarov O. (G) 6. Salimov A. 22. Tabatadze T. 71. Yulchiev E.
Coaches
Gafurov A.	Shipilov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Dzebniauri T. ⚽,
29', Gvazava S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kodirov F. ↓, Abdukhamidov S. ↑,
46', Ramazonov D. ↓, Uktamov B. ↑,
51', Uktamov A. 🟨,
74', Abdukhamidov S. 🟨,
79', Sherbutaev K. ↓, Yusupov K. ↑,
82', Friday R. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 15th in the Super League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Surkhon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Surkhon has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:19 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Surkhon against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Termez Surkhon	22	7	5	10	19:28	-9	26
15	Kokand 1912	22	4	8	10	19:30	-11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
09.09.26	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Surkhon Termez - AGMK	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	Surkhon Termez - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTTL
- Kokand 1912
Uzbek Cup
16.09.26	Gazalkent - Kokand 1912	2:1 ✺
Uzbek League
10.09.26	Andijan - Kokand 1912	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kokand 1912 - Dinamo Samarqand	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Kokand 1912 - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Bunyodkor - Kokand 1912	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
03.08.26	Kokand 1912 - Surkhon Termez	0:1
17.08.25	Kokand 1912 - Surkhon Termez	2:0
04.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Kokand 1912	3:1
03.10.22	Kokand 1912 - Surkhon Termez	2:3
06.05.22	Surkhon Termez - Kokand 1912	1:0
25.08.21	Kokand 1912 - Surkhon Termez	2:0
20.03.21	Surkhon Termez - Kokand 1912	1:1

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