Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Kolos Kovalivka		Desna Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.85
	3.5	3.7	1.85
	3.4	3.7	1.85
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	3.45	4.34	1.88
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.6	3.64	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolos Kovalivka
26.4%

Draw
24.8%

Desna Chernihiv
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.7%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

19%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kolos Kovalivka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desna Chernihiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Desna will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kolos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Kolos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.20	Vorskla Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	3:0 ✺
06.11.20	Dnipro-1 - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2 ✺
31.10.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mynai	2:2 ✺
17.10.20	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTT
- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.20	Desna Chernihiv - Lviv	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Desna Chernihiv - Mynai	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	2:2 ✺
24.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
18.10.20	Dnipro-1 - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
05.07.20	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	5:1
30.05.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	0:2
24.11.19	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	2:0
17.08.19	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.11.17	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	0:1
09.08.17	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	2:3
15.04.17	Kolos Kovalivka - Desna Chernihiv	0:1

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