Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Probiy Horodenka		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.10	1.36
	5.50	3.80	1.52
	5.2	3.89	1.56	Watch
	5.25	3.70	1.49
	9.05	4.29	1.37	Watch
	5.40	3.75	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↑ (5.2)	3.92 ↑ (3.86)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
14.4%

Draw
23.3%

Oleksandriya
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

22.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Probiy Horodenka - Oleksandriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Arkhypchuk K. (G) 16. Guk I. 5. Savchyn V. 44. Batz M. 15. Kharuk R. (C) 70. Yaroshenko S. 6. Ivanychuk V. 7. Savitskyi A. 13. Galonskyi V. 19. Napuda V. 21. Girnyi M.	1. Dolgyi V. (G) 22. Skorko D. (C) 5. Dykhtyaruk O. 35. Danylo G. 4. Gavrylyuk N. 44. Jhonnatan 8. Storchous A. 79. Khmelovskyy D. 40. Chernysh D. 77. Kremchanin D. 99. Voytikhovskiy M.
Substitutes
12. Barabanov V. (G) 56. Borysenko M. 98. Fesenko A. 4. Kozachuk A. 95. Lopyryonok M.	10. Buletsa S. 2. Dmytruk T. 83. Khan D. 33. Klishchuk A. (G) 30. Kopyna Y. 25. Kozak O. 14. Kuzmyn R. 94. Melnyk O. 16. Prytula O. 21. Tolochko R. 9. Tretyakov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Jhonnatan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Girnyi M. ⚽,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Borysenko M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Tretyakov M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Girnyi M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Buletsa S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ivanychuk V. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kuzmyn R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Probiy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oleksandriya is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Oleksandriya is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.08.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Probiy Horodenka	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWLT
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oleksandriya - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Bratslav - Oleksandriya	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWW

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