Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)


	Kongsvinger		Stjørdals-Blink

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.33	5.25
	1.57	4.1	4.8
	1.55	4.35	5
	1.56	4.2	4.7
	1.61	4.5	5.16
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.58	4.4	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.13)	4.25 ↑ (3.25)	5.03 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
59.5%

Draw
21.9%

Stjørdals-Blink
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger's performance.

Stjørdals-Blink has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stjørdals-Blink might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjørdals-Blink than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stjørdals-Blink could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Kongsvinger - Stjørdals Blink Predictions

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stjørdals-Blink has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kongsvinger is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.07.22	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	0:0 ✺
07.07.22	Bryne - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
04.07.22	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	2:2 ✺
26.06.22	Start - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
20.06.22	Kongsvinger - Grorud	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TTTWT
- Stjørdals-Blink IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.07.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
07.07.22	Stabæk - Stjørdals-Blink	4:2 ✺
04.07.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Start	0:3 ✺
27.06.22	Bryne - Stjørdals-Blink	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Byåsen - Stjørdals-Blink	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.11.20	Kongsvinger - Stjørdals-Blink	3:2
13.07.20	Stjørdals-Blink - Kongsvinger	5:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
17.10.15	Kongsvinger - Stjørdals-Blink	2:1

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