Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 19

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Location: Bryne Stadion (Bryne)

Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Bryne		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.7
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.31	3.71	2.92
	2.26	3.64	2.88	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.7
	2.25	3.66	2.88
	2.3	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)	3.61 ↓ (3.79)	2.82 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bryne
41.3%

Draw
25.7%

Kongsvinger
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

23.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bryne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bryne's form might have worsened.

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kongsvinger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bryne than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bryne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kongsvinger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Bryne - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: Bryne will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Spiridonov I. (G) 2. Gorlich L. 5. Haahr J. 20. Norheim S. 14. Saunes E. 11. Scriven A. 26. Kryger A. 9. Sodal L. (C) 15. Tveita J. 18. Moreira D. 32. Jonassen S. T.	1. Stromberg A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 5. Holme F. 3. Thorkelsson R. 2. Nilsson J. 27. Dybevik A. 6. Holter H. 7. Taylor E. 11. Williams N. 14. Haren L. 9. Guven A. (C)
Substitutes
12. Bergene S. (G) 23. Haland K. 24. Husebo J. 4. Landu-Landu Ch. 22. Mattingsdal M. 17. Qvigstad L. 7. Thornes M. 10. Undheim R.	10. Gerson L. 20. Grundt J. 21. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 48. Sandstad A. 31. Sayouba M. (G)
Coaches
Knappen O.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Jonassen S. T. ⚽, Tveita J. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Williams N. ⚽, Haren L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Gorlich L. ↓, Landu-Landu Ch. ↑,
55', Tveita J. ↓, Thornes M. ↑,
58', Dybevik A. 🟨,
67', Guven A. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
80', Jonassen S. T. ↓, Haland K. ↑,
89', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
89', Dybevik A. ↓, Grundt J. ↑,
89', Kryger A. ↓, Undheim R. ↑,
89', Scriven A. ↓, Husebo J. ↑,
90+3', Taylor E. 🟨,
90+3', Norheim S. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bryne won 2.

Bryne in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kongsvinger is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bryne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bryne won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bryne won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bryne FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.24	Åsane - Bryne	2:5 ✺
03.08.24	Levanger - Bryne	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Bryne - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Egersund - Bryne	0:2 ✺
23.06.24	Bryne - Lyn	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.08.24	Kongsvinger - Lyn	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Kongsvinger - Levanger	3:3 ✺
20.07.24	Moss - Kongsvinger	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.06.24	Kongsvinger - Bryne	3:1
Club Friendly
02.03.24	Bryne - Kongsvinger	2:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.10.23	Kongsvinger - Bryne	1:3
10.04.23	Bryne - Kongsvinger	2:1
04.08.22	Kongsvinger - Bryne	2:1
07.07.22	Bryne - Kongsvinger	1:1
14.08.16	Bryne - Kongsvinger	1:1

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