Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Exbud Arena (Kielce)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Korona Kielce		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.6
	2.25	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.4	3.33	3.22
	2.20	3.08	3.52	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.34	3.32	3.06	Watch
	2.62	3.15	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.51)	3.2 (3.2)	2.98 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
39%

Draw
29.4%

Radomiak Radom
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Korona Kielce aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	41.7%	33.3%

Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Radomiak will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Radomiak (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Korona (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Radomiak (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 3 - 60%). Radomiak (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 61. Budnicki J. 44. Sotiriou K. 6. Pieczek M. 71. Dlugosz W. 8. Remacle M. 88. Svetlin T. 3. Matuszewski K. 10. Nono (C) 70. Antonin 7. Blanik D.	1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 13. Grzesik J. 14. Kingue S. 5. Blasco J. 20. Joao Pedro 28. Kaput M. 6. Jordao B. 11. Capita 10. Alves R. 27. Wolski R. (C) 25. Maurides
Substitutes
21. Ciszek K. 9. Davidovic S. 27. Kaminski W. 87. Mamla R. (G) 20. Minuczyc K. 11. Nikolov V. 15. Niski N. 5. Resta P. 24. Smolarczyk B. 13. Strzebonski M. 37. Zwozny H.	2. Camara I. 16. Cichocki M. 29. Depu 77. Donis C. 8. Golubickas P. 99. Guilherme 75. Jerke M. (G) 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 17. Niziolek A. 24. Zie Ouattara
Coaches
Zielinski J.	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Blanik D. ⚽, Matuszewski K. (A),
31', Kingue S. 🟨,
40', Capita ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
44', Blanik D. 🟨,
45+6', Majchrowicz F. 🟨,
45+7', 2 - 0, Blanik D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kingue S. ↓, Cichocki M. ↑,
46', Jordao B. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
64', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
64', Nono ↓, Niski N. ↑,
66', Niski N. 🟨,
69', Remacle M. 🟨,
70', Alves R. ↓, Depu ↑,
71', Wolski R. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Sotiriou K. ⚽, Niski N. (A),
77', Wolski R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
78', Remacle M. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
79', Blanik D. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
83', Dlugosz W. 🟨,
89', Budnicki J. 🟨,
90', Svetlin T. ↓, Minuczyc K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.

Recent form of Korona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Radomiak is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Korona: Popov V. (Foot Injury) Resta P. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Radomiak Radom - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Korona Kielce - Maccabi Netanya	0:1 ✺
09.07.25	Korona Kielce - Stal Rzeszów	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLT
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Arka Gdynia - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3 ✺
05.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Omonia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
30.03.25	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	1:3
20.09.24	Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce	4:0
19.04.24	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	4:0
22.10.23	Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce	1:1
11.03.23	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	2:1
27.08.22	Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce	0:2
Club Friendly
22.06.22	Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce	0:1

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