Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 11

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Canal+ Family
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Korona Kielce		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	3	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.95
	2.55	3	2.9	Watch
	2.68	3.03	3.03
	2.45	2.9	2.88	Watch
	2.53	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.61)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce
36.7%

Draw
31.3%

Warta Poznań
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

29.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Korona Kielce - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Warta will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Dziekonski X. (G) 2. Zator D. 4. Malarczyk P. 66. Trojak M. (C) 28. Godinho M. 6. Podgorski J. 88. Remacle M. 18. Hofmayster Y. 11. Nono 98. Czyzycki M. 9. Shikavka Y.	33. Grobelny J. (G) 14. Tiru B. 44. Szymonowicz D. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 2. Bartkowski J. 16. Luis M. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 22. Matuszewski K. 7. Szmyt K. 29. Vizinger D. 77. Savic S.
Substitutes
17. Blanik D. 5. Briceag M. 10. Deaconu R. 19. Konstantyn J. 94. Kwiecien B. 87. Mamla R. (G) 13. Strzeboński M. 8. Takac D. 14. Turek R.	28. Borowski F. 97. Kaminski W. 31. Krzyzak O. 1. Lis A. (G) 8. Maenpaa N. 25. Paszkowski J. 47. Prikryl T. 6. Zurawski M.
Coaches
Kuzera K.	Szulczek D.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Korona have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Korona: Lukowski J. (Injury) Petrov K. (Injury)

There will not play in Warta: Kielb J. (Injury) Kopczynski M. (Injury) Przybylko K. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Korona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.09.23	Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.09.23	Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Cracovia - Korona Kielce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.09.23	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
01.09.23	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
25.02.23	Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce	5:1
15.08.22	Korona Kielce - Warta Poznań	0:1

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